The End of the Culture Wars?

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Last week, in my home state of Iowa, the Iowa State Supreme Court ruled that the state could not place marriage restrictions on same-sex couples, echoing centuries of history of court enforced equality in the state:  slaves, Jim Crow laws, and women practicing as lawyers. Vermont’s Congress recently overruled the Governor and said same sex marriage.


A State Senator from Iowa put it best when he described something his daughter told him about some older males she heard discussing gay marriage:  ”You don’t matter anymore. We’ve all already decided.” And that’s more true than anyone who opposes gay marriage, that true about those who oppose abortion rights, that true about those want to restrict the usage of stem cells. You don’t matter anymore. Those of my generation, we’ve gone elsewhere. These are not the wars we will fight. We’re beyond that. We’re already on to the next great culture war:  The War on Drugs.


When someone asks me about gay marriage, my opinion is really easy:  marriage is a church institution and civil unions should be a state/federal institution. But no matter what we have, equality should be extended to any two consenting adults. That’s the most important. But I like to relate a story about my baseball team. I play with a  group of guys and we’re all about 25-35 years old. We’re mostly athletically fit, but its a pretty wide spread culturally, we have about three guys that graduated from college about four guys who spent some time in college, and about two guys who didn’t make it through high school. We have about five immigrants from Latin America playing with us. They come from nice neighborhoods of Tacoma, they come from Olympia, and they come from the crazy ass parts of Tacoma where I won’t go at night. We have guys who live in high rises in Bellevue and guys who have spent multiple years under bridges.


We had a barbecue last year and our coach, who’s a construction foreman, originally from Eastern Washington said “everyone bring your wives, girlfriends, or boyfriends, its all cool,” and it was a little joke, because obviously everyone on the team was male. I believe everyone on the team is straight, though I don’t know for sure. But it wasn’t a joke at homosexuality, it was a joke the thought of people being homophobic. The joke is post-ironic; we joke about being gay not because being gay is cool, but because homophobia is uncool. But more than uncool, its just ridiculous.*


*Dave Chapelle had skit a couple years ago about a blind, black white-supremacist. Its inherently funny because it is so ridiculous. That’s what my culture thinks of these people. Clayton Bigsby is a satirical character who doesn’t represent what most racists are like. To our generation, these bigots who want to restrict equal rights are inherently caricatures. And yet, they are real people. That is why to us they are so ridiculous.


This is not bunch of people who went to liberal arts colleges, cocooned for years away from society and creating a fabulous world in their mines of communism and atheist taking over the world (and yes, many conservatives do believe that’s the purpose of liberal arts colleges). These are construction workers, hydroelectric engineers, warehouse forklift drivers, and bartenders. These are blue collar as blue collars gets. This team represents what the conservatives need to target if they are to re-brand themselves: and this team doesn’t give a shit about any of the opinions the conservatives hold so dear.


That’s why over the next 10 years, across the country gay marriage will become more and more common. Because the people who will be voting, the people who make the decisions and give the money and the people who will be running for state reps and state senators, they have already decided that the culture warriors don’t matter.


Nate Silver already has a very interesting statistical regression (seriously, you expected him to throw up something different) in which he calculates when each state will have the right population makeup to vote to legalize gay marriage. Within 12 years gay marriage should be legal everywhere. I hope he’s correct.


But, sadly as I like to think, its not the end of the culture wars. There is a new front opening in the culture wars, and I don’t think any of the politicians really understand it yet: the War on Drugs. We got a hint of that in Obama’s press conference in which he was asked about legalizing marijuana. He basically shrugged off the question with a snicker, as did most of the reporters in the room. Sadly, they do not realize how many adults who otherwise live normal lives regularly use marijuana. These are not pot heads who can’t hold down a job at McDonald’s. They are your bus driver, the coach of your kid’s little league team, your boss. This is the next culture war. Drugs is where we go from here, because much of the younger generations hasn’t made its mind of up on the legalization of drugs so they will still fall into the varying camps. But drugs will take over from Gay Marriage, Guns, Abortion, and Stem Cells, and that is a very very good thing.

5 Responses to “The End of the Culture Wars?”

  1. Glynnis Kirchmeier Glynnis Kirchmeier Says:

    Silver didn’t say that he took age into account, which makes me suspicious. Such a thing could seriously alter the results of the regression vis-a-vis migration patterns. Example: North Dakota has been bleeding out young people for a long time, as they find opportunities for work elsewhere. That could bump it down more than the regression predicts, especially if the exodus accelerates. Wyoming, in contrast, has done a lot of excellent marketing for college students from neighboring states like Colorado, making it have a large sub-population of students at any given time. Since the gay marriage thing is a generational issue (with kids basically telling their parents and grandparents how stupid they are until the old folks change their ways), it surprises me that Silver didn’t consider age/didn’t find that age was a significant variable.

    Reply

    Matt Stevens

    Matt Stevens Reply:

    @Glynnis Kirchmeier,

    You are correct, Silver didn’t use age. I re-read his post and he discusses that using just those three variables (when the original vote was, the number of people who feel religion is significant, and the number of white evangelicals) he gets the best regression line and in statistical analysis, using the least amount of variables is always the best. That’s why he doesn’t use average age of voters. I brought that age analysis in myself, and that was a mistake to point to Silver for that.

    However, I do think the change in voters is important. I brought that in from something I read from Matt Yglesias (http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/04/the_geezer_effect_and_internet_politics.php) basically that those who elected Obama are those who are over the culture wars.

    Reply

  2. Glynnis Kirchmeier Glynnis Kirchmeier Says:

    But why do you say that legalizing drugs is the next big fight – as opposed to, say, fighting agribusiness? A new peace movement? Terrorism? Transgender rights? Cultural imperialism via making *other* countries accept gays too (re: a call for people to boycott Jamaica as a destination until they stop being so murder-prone)? Emo kid rights? Intellectual property vs. generic drugs? Distributive rights in an increasingly urbanized world? Net neutrality? Why are drugs more important or volatile than any of these other things?

    Reply

    Matt Stevens

    Matt Stevens Reply:

    @Glynnis Kirchmeier,

    Legalizing drugs is the next big culture war fight. Fighting agribusiness or terrorism is a fight that crosses across generations or political learnings. They aren’t culture wars.

    Transgender rights will be apart of the rump of rights won with the gays. Emo kids have more rights than they deserve :) Intellectual property rights and generic drugs already have outlets for discussion in the WTO and in the still active “non-aligned movement” and once again, are not culture wars within America. Jim Webb carries a gun to the Senate: net neutrality is not at risk (also, not a cultural issue).

    I’m not saying that drugs are necessarily more important than any of these issues (I’ve never used drugs-any-and yet I still think prohibition is silly; and I love net neutrality) I’m saying that culture wars are already moving on and this is where they will be heading next.

    Drug prohibition is one of the most destructive forces in our society and at the same time you have more and more people moving towards recognizing that.

    Reply

    boji

    boji Reply:

    @Matt Stevens, The Iowa Supreme Court made the decision and not the people of Iowa. Though there is a huge call from the religious community in Iowa to have a vote, both the leader in Senate, House, and Governor’s office are refusing so far. That means the great cultural war will be fought on this issue for the 2010 election. All the Republican want-to-be Governor are ramping up the base on this issue. That will be true in the House and the Senate. This is only the second time in history that the democrats control all parts of the political process in Iowa. I will believe the cultural war is over if they keep power in two of the three areas.

    Drugs are also a cultural issue because of the demonization of the drug user. This has been true since “Reefer Madness” was produced. Those who use drugs are not celebrated in the press but are prone to violence, arrest, and embarrassment.

    Several years ago a federal judge called for the repeal of our drug statutes. It didn’t happen. I don’t know that any legislature is ready to do it now.

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